Now That The Old Business Is Settled...
It Likely Won't Be Long Until the SDNY PCU and SCU Unveil The New Business.
All the people shouting cover up about the Jeffrey Epstein/Ghislaine Maxwell cases have always been incoherent. But they will become even more so as events in the on-going federal investigation into the pair’s child sex trafficking ring continue to unfold in the coming months.
Some commentators still think Maxwell is getting some slap on the wrist, even after having been convicted of having a direct role in entrapping young girls into Epstein’s international criminal network.
But this is nonsense.
Because Judge Alison Nathan is required to follow the federal sentencing guidelines for the five charges on which Ghislaine Maxwell was convicted, she’s facing a maximum of 65 years in prison.
My take for some time now has been that Maxwell won’t get the maximum, she’ll get around 40-45 years. For a 60 year old woman, that is essentially a life sentence. That’d be some wrist slap.
And as expected by those who’ve been researching the case from the beginning, the superseding indictments against Maxwell are starting to make their appearance, now that she’s been convicted as a key player in the sex trafficking ring.
Anybody who researched this case from the beginning remembered it was Maxwell and her legal team who requested that she be tried on the perjury charges in a separate trial.
And the judge granted this request back in April of last year. [Most media commentators and TV talking heads were completely unaware of this, or promptly forgot it]
Maxwell is thus far headed for at least one other trial based on several criminal acts of perjury she committed during her depositions in the preparation for her sex trafficking trial. Her troubles are far from over.
People don’t seem to understand it was the sex trafficking of just four specific minor girls out of dozens that she was involved in that has Maxwell headed to prison for the rest of her life. Absolutely nothing whatsoever prevents federal prosecutors from making further superseding indictments against Maxwell and taking her trial for all the other crimes she committed against other minors. They get to pick and choose which are the strongest cases that can be proven in the courtroom. And when to bring those charges.
Whenever the Maxwell phase of the SDNY’s investigation closes, other doors will open. Epstein and Maxwell were never even the **main targets** of this investigation. They were old business that had to be gotten out of the way first.
As bad as an international child sex trafficking network was, the bigger scandal here always was that public officials let this sex trafficking ring go back in 2006 and again in 2009 instead of taking the people running it and put them in prison. Jeffrey Epstein, whether you believe it was by his own hand or someone else’s, has been dealt with. Now Maxwell is likewise being dealt with.
I would not be surprised if the sex crimes committed against the children has been handed off to the SDNY Sex Crimes Unit [SCU] to prosecute while the Public Corruption Unit is now free to focus exclusively on the former public officials who gave Epstein and his slimy friends that notorious pass in 2009.
While most of the media attention is focused on the clients of Epstein child sex trafficking ring, who are assumed to be in the clear now that the entire case is supposedly over, my focus has remained on the main targets of the PCU’s investigation: the former public officials.
Why was the PCU involved in the first place? Because both Epstein and Maxwell benefitted the most from the corrupt acts of the corrupt public officials who let them walk away in 2009.
Incredibly Bad Media Hot Takes Have Continued
It’s been almost funny watching media commentators on the Right trading their own fantasies back and forth, each one trying to one-up the other in selling a lurid narrative of corrupt feds shutting everything down now that Maxwell is convicted.
Even as Judge Alison Nathan began making preparations for Maxwell’s new trial on these perjury charges, I’m seeing many media outlets getting the story wrong.
Because Judge Nathan wanted to begin setting the time frame for this new trial now that the first trial is over, she requested a proposed trial schedule from both sides. This is regular procedure and nothing out of the ordinary.
Media commentators somehow mangled this simple regular act into a convoluted hot take that Judge Nathan herself is proposing a second trial for Maxwell for perjury, but is discussing her proposal with both sides before ruling whether this new trial will happen or not.
Once again, nobody seems to know how anything works.
The **JUDGE** is not the one who decides if there will be first or second trial trial or not.
I’ve been stunned at reading media hot takes assuming Judge Nathan is spitballing and hasn’t made her mind up yet about whether or not the Maxwell perjury trial is going forward. News outlets are covering this as if Nathan needs to see prospective schedules from both the prosecution and the defense before she makes her mind up about whether or not the perjury trial will happen.
The New York Post put it this way in it’s headline: “Perjury Trial Against Ghislaine Maxwell Will Likely Go Forward”.
Federal judges don’t take defendants to trial. It’s not their decision. They are impartial referees. Federal prosecutors either bring charges or they don’t. In this case, the prosecution team did file perjury charges against Maxwell. They don’t have any intention of withdrawing or dropping them.
The only way Judge Nathan could stop this new trial would be by summarily dismissing the perjury charges filed by the SDNY prosecutors. The chances that happens are exactly 0%.
It is not “likely” that Maxwell is headed for trial for perjury. It’s 100% certain that she is. Only her pleading guilty to the counts or the judge tossing the charges could head off the trial. Since the presiding judge is asking the dueling sides for a prospective trial schedule so negotiations can begin as to when to have the second trial, it’s pretty obvious that Judge Nathan isn’t pondering whether or not to toss the SDNY’s case.
Whenever the SDNY PCU and SCU intend to turn their attention from the ringleaders of the Epstein sex ring and the public officials who enabled it to run onward for another decade and a half to focus instead on the famous clientele who used Epstein and Maxwell’s “services”, they will demonstrate this with indictments.
In closing, I’ll point this out: the standard of evidence is far lower in civil cases than it is in criminal ones. As Prince Andrew of England’s royal family is currently in the process of discovering. Much to his horror.
Excellent analysis. And you are so right about how “nobody knows how anything works,”
Best writer on Substack and Telegram... Thanks for another great one clearly explaining what is going on. Greatly appreciated, Brian.